Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028427 0.030623 0.032918 0.035501 0.038328 0.041333 0.044775
2025-02-02 0.025154 0.028318 0.031805 0.035944 0.040741 0.046146 0.052725
2025-02-09 0.022521 0.026190 0.030393 0.035589 0.041879 0.049294 0.058765
2025-02-16 0.020657 0.024656 0.029382 0.035423 0.043003 0.052284 0.064636
2025-02-23 0.019118 0.023322 0.028422 0.035129 0.043808 0.054790 0.069943
2025-03-02 0.017963 0.022338 0.027772 0.035100 0.044852 0.057566 0.075700
2025-03-09 0.016781 0.021219 0.026843 0.034598 0.045173 0.059334 0.080144
2025-03-16 0.015682 0.020124 0.025857 0.033919 0.045161 0.060583 0.083878
2025-03-23 0.014843 0.019314 0.025183 0.033594 0.045573 0.062395 0.088490
2025-03-30 0.014096 0.018579 0.024557 0.033276 0.045944 0.064129 0.093063
2025-04-06 0.013307 0.017742 0.023739 0.032625 0.045769 0.065020 0.096371
2025-04-13 0.012915 0.017429 0.023627 0.032964 0.047047 0.068126 0.103332
2025-04-20 0.012419 0.016950 0.023258 0.032915 0.047748 0.070410 0.109192
2025-04-27 0.012093 0.016696 0.023198 0.033313 0.049145 0.073857 0.117236
2025-05-04 0.011583 0.016151 0.022683 0.032987 0.049381 0.075453 0.122251
2025-05-11 0.011160 0.015711 0.022298 0.032835 0.049871 0.077474 0.128140
2025-05-18 0.010735 0.015250 0.021858 0.032566 0.050146 0.079136 0.133498
2025-05-25 0.010401 0.014909 0.021583 0.032540 0.050808 0.081479 0.140268
2025-06-01 0.009981 0.014420 0.021058 0.032081 0.050711 0.082494 0.144617
2025-06-08 0.009548 0.013895 0.020453 0.031460 0.050300 0.082919 0.147853
2025-06-15 0.009216 0.013513 0.020058 0.031163 0.050423 0.084294 0.153038
2025-06-22 0.008905 0.013151 0.019678 0.030872 0.050537 0.085648 0.158274
2025-06-29 0.008544 0.012698 0.019134 0.030277 0.050073 0.085898 0.161265